VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
9-6-0 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
8-10-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 3.09 | 0.897 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 4.24 | 0.810 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.09 Ldr
GAA
4.24
0.897 Ldr
Save %
0.810
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
0%
SENATORS
100%
CANUCKS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
VAN By 1 goal
19.7%
VAN By 2-3 goals
29.8%
OTT By 1 goal
12.0%
OTT By 2-3 goals
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vancouver
2.6
VANCOUVER
Ottawa
1.58
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
OTT @ VAN
2 - 0
Jan 13, 2026
VAN @ OTT
1 - 2
Dec 21, 2024
OTT @ VAN
5 - 4
Nov 23, 2024
VAN @ OTT
4 - 3
Jan 2, 2024
OTT @ VAN
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+4.4%
Vancouver: 22.0%
vs
Ottawa: 17.6%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.5% more
Ottawa: 34.0
vs
Vancouver: 26.9
Hits (L5)
+19.8% more
Ottawa: 32.0
vs
Vancouver: 26.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.3%
Ottawa: 54.0%
vs
Vancouver: 46.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VAN Score
2.6
4
OTT Score
1.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 13.0
7.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 46.7
65.5 / 34.5
Hits
32.0 / 26.8
36.0 / 37.0
Power Play %
17.6 / 22.0
66.7 / 16.7
Shots on Goal
34.0 / 26.9
29.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.9
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
VAN
OTT
VAN
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
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