ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
9-11-0 | Road
1
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
7-8-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 2.04 | 0.933 | -- |
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 1.00 | 0.960 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.04
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.933
Save %
Ldr 0.960
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
BLUES
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
STL By 1 goal
14.7%
STL By 2-3 goals
13.0%
NYI By 1 goal
19.3%
NYI By 2-3 goals
24.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1.93
ST. LOUIS
New York
2.49
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
New York
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
NYI @ STL
4 - 3
Nov 22, 2025
STL @ NYI
2 - 1
Nov 23, 2024
STL @ NYI
1 - 3
Oct 17, 2024
NYI @ STL
0 - 1
Mar 5, 2024
STL @ NYI
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.4%
New York: 56.3%
vs
St. Louis: 48.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+42.2% more
St. Louis: 5.3
vs
New York: 3.1
Power Play % (L5)
+11.4%
St. Louis: 14.2%
vs
New York: 2.8%
Hits (L5)
+8.1% more
St. Louis: 22.4
vs
New York: 20.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.9
1
NYI Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 17.4
20.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
56.3 / 48.9
64.2 / 35.8
Hits
20.6 / 22.4
29.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
2.8 / 14.2
50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
25.8 / 27.9
31.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
3.1 / 5.3
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
STL
NYI
STL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1-1
100%
2-0-1
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
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