SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
8-7 | Road
88
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
9-7 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
KINGS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.4
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.4 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -9.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
11.5%
SAC By 8-14 points
3.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
23.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
105.82
SACRAMENTO
LA
115.23
LA
Simulated Score
Sacramento
104
SACRAMENTO
LA
117
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.4
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.5% more
LA: 18.9
vs
Sacramento: 15.0
Steals (L5)
+22.6% more
LA: 9.3
vs
Sacramento: 7.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.3%
LA: 81.3%
vs
Sacramento: 77.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
LA: 42.1%
vs
Sacramento: 40.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
105.8
88
LAC Score
115.2
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 40.1
23.8 / 20.0
Assists
24.5 / 24.4
27.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.6
3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 48.7
41.5 / 38.6
Free Throw %
81.3 / 77.9
100.0 / 70.8
Rebounding
46.0 / 43.4
54.0 / 48.0
Steals
9.3 / 7.6
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
18.9 / 15.0
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SAC
LAC
SAC
ML
60%
59-40
55%
55-45
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
ATS
66%
65-33-1
54%
52-45-3
55%
45-37
61%
50-32
TTL
59%
58-40-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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