WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
16-3-0 | Road
4
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
7-10-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Owen Pickering
#38 | D| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 1.00 | 0.944 | -- |
| Owen Pickering | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.944
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
JETS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
19.7%
WPG By 2-3 goals
30.9%
PIT By 1 goal
11.3%
PIT By 2-3 goals
8.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.62
WINNIPEG
Pittsburgh
2.49
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
1
WINNIPEG
Pittsburgh
2
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.1
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
WPG @ PIT
3 - 2
Mar 21, 2026
WPG @ PIT
4 - 5
Nov 1, 2025
PIT @ WPG
2 - 5
Nov 22, 2024
WPG @ PIT
4 - 1
Oct 20, 2024
PIT @ WPG
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+28.0% more
Winnipeg: 5.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 3.8
Hits (L5)
+18.2% more
Winnipeg: 21.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 17.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+51.8% more
Pittsburgh: 18.5
vs
Winnipeg: 12.2
Power Play % (L5)
+2.2%
Pittsburgh: 22.0%
vs
Winnipeg: 19.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.6
4
PIT Score
2.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.5 / 12.2
14.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 47.4
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
17.8 / 21.7
29.0 / 11.0
Power Play %
22.0 / 19.8
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 27.5
18.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.8 / 5.3
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
WPG
PIT
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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