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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

9-9-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Fri, Nov 22 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

8-8-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
GOALTENDER

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

#1 | Goaltender
@
Pavel Mintyukov
GOALTENDER

Pavel Mintyukov

#98 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen None-None 1.88 0.917 --
Pavel Mintyukov None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.88 GAA --
0.917 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
SABRES --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Anaheim)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

41.3%

Ducks Cover

58.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around ANA -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

BUF By 1 goal

15.3%

BUF By 2-3 goals

14.2%

ANA By 1 goal

19.0%

ANA By 2-3 goals

23.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.4
BUFFALO
2.84
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
6
BUFFALO
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Sabres (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 BUF @ ANA 5 - 6
Jan 10, 2026 ANA @ BUF 3 - 5
Feb 25, 2025 ANA @ BUF 2 - 3
Nov 22, 2024 BUF @ ANA 3 - 2
Feb 19, 2024 ANA @ BUF 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +27.4% more
Anaheim: 24.8 vs Buffalo: 19.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +13.8% more
Anaheim: 16.9 vs Buffalo: 14.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +12.6% more
Anaheim: 26.6 vs Buffalo: 23.6
Power Play % (L5) +10.4%
Buffalo: 30.7% vs Anaheim: 20.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 2.4 3
ANA Score 2.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.9 / 14.8 19.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 42.1 / 45.9 34.0 / 66.0
Hits 24.8 / 19.5 25.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 2033.0 / 3068.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 26.6 / 23.6 24.0 / 32.0
Takeaways 4.9 / 4.9 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
72%MONEY28%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
BUF
ANA
BUF
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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