Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Lakers ORL @ LAL

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

9-7  |  Road

119
FINAL
Thu, Nov 21 • 10:30 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

10-4  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
0%
📊
LAKERS
100%
MAGIC --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Orlando)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

51.6%

Lakers Cover

48.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ORL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

ORL By 1-7 points

25.7%

ORL By 8-14 points

16.0%

LAL By 1-7 points

24.9%

LAL By 8-14 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
108.99
ORLANDO
108.58
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
107
ORLANDO
113
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 LAL @ ORL 105 - 104
Feb 24, 2026 ORL @ LAL 110 - 109
Mar 24, 2025 LAL @ ORL 106 - 118
Nov 21, 2024 ORL @ LAL 119 - 118
Nov 4, 2023 LAL @ ORL 101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.3% more
Orlando: 7.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.3
Turnovers (L5) +9.9% more
Orlando: 14.1 vs Los Angeles: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Orlando: 81.6% vs Los Angeles: 76.0%
Assists (L5) +21.3% more
Los Angeles: 27.8 vs Orlando: 23.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 109.0 119
LAL Score 108.6 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 29.5 41.9 / 37.5
Assists 27.8 / 23.0 21.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.3 / 7.0 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 45.6 50.6 / 47.3
Free Throw % 76.0 / 81.6 65.4 / 85.7
Rebounding 38.7 / 36.2 36.0 / 48.0
Steals 8.7 / 9.0 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 14.1 10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
ORL
LAL
ORL
ML
61% 68-43
61% 65-42
54% 49-42
56% 51-40
ATS
61% 67-43-1
64% 68-38-1
54% 49-42
56% 51-40
TTL
61% 66-43-2
57% 61-46
100% 91-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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