NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
7-7-0 | Road
1
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
7-9-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.02 | 0.935 | -- |
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.02
GAA
--
0.935
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
56%
RED WINGS
44%
ISLANDERS
--
RED WINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
74%
Under 0
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
NYI By 1 goal
17.4%
NYI By 2-3 goals
37.3%
DET By 1 goal
6.5%
DET By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3.28
NEW YORK
Detroit
1.27
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Islanders
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Islanders (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Red Wings (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.6
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
NYI @ DET
2 - 3
Nov 20, 2025
NYI @ DET
5 - 0
Oct 23, 2025
DET @ NYI
2 - 7
Nov 25, 2024
DET @ NYI
4 - 2
Nov 21, 2024
NYI @ DET
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.4% more
New York: 18.8
vs
Detroit: 13.3
Hits (L5)
+20.7% more
New York: 18.4
vs
Detroit: 14.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.9% more
New York: 27.2
vs
Detroit: 22.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.3%
New York: 57.9%
vs
Detroit: 49.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.3
1
DET Score
1.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.3 / 18.8
13.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.6 / 57.9
46.9 / 53.1
Hits
14.6 / 18.4
29.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
4188.0 / 427.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.9 / 27.2
31.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 3.6
5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYI
DET
NYI
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-3
100%
2-0-1
33%
1-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
Dylan Larkin Scores in Return to Red Wings Lineup Amid Trade Req…
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…