COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
10-9-0 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
13-4-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alexandar Georgiev
#40 | G@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandar Georgiev | None-None | 1.00 | 0.966 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.09 | 0.926 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.09
0.966 Ldr
Save %
0.926
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
25%
CAPITALS
75%
AVALANCHE
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
17.8%
COL By 2-3 goals
19.5%
WSH By 1 goal
17.1%
WSH By 2-3 goals
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
4.01
COLORADO
Washington
3.93
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Win
25% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
A
Sim
Avalanche (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 2
Jan 19, 2026
WSH @ COL
2 - 5
Nov 21, 2024
COL @ WSH
2 - 1
Nov 15, 2024
WSH @ COL
5 - 2
Feb 13, 2024
COL @ WSH
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+35.1%
Washington: 48.0%
vs
Colorado: 12.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.8% more
Washington: 18.4
vs
Colorado: 14.2
Hits (L5)
+10.5% more
Washington: 17.6
vs
Colorado: 16.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Washington: 47.5%
vs
Colorado: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
4.0
2
WSH Score
3.9
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.4 / 14.2
17.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
47.5 / 42.7
65.5 / 34.5
Hits
17.6 / 16.0
13.0 / 8.0
Power Play %
48.0 / 12.9
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.1 / 27.1
29.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.6
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
COL
WSH
COL
ML
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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