MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
12-3-0 | Road
5
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
10-8-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Marc-Andre Fleury
#29 | G@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury | None-None | 3.01 | 0.903 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01
GAA
--
0.903
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
76%
OILERS
24%
WILD
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
67%
Under 0
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.5%
MIN By 2-3 goals
25.9%
EDM By 1 goal
14.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
12.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.19
MINNESOTA
Edmonton
2.53
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
76% Win Prob
B
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
A
Sim
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.7
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
MIN @ EDM
7 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
EDM @ MIN
2 - 5
Dec 2, 2025
MIN @ EDM
1 - 0
Jan 15, 2025
EDM @ MIN
5 - 3
Dec 12, 2024
EDM @ MIN
7 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+24.3% more
Minnesota: 19.5
vs
Edmonton: 14.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.4% more
Edmonton: 31.7
vs
Minnesota: 27.7
Power Play % (L5)
+13.7%
Edmonton: 24.0%
vs
Minnesota: 10.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.3%
Edmonton: 51.6%
vs
Minnesota: 46.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.2
5
EDM Score
2.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 15.6
13.0 / 26.0
Faceoff %
51.6 / 46.3
57.1 / 42.9
Hits
14.7 / 19.5
18.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
2397.0 / 1022.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.7 / 27.7
31.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.1
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
MIN
EDM
MIN
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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