CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
6-9 | Road
106
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
5-9 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
CHI By 1-7 points
23.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.2%
MIL By 1-7 points
26.5%
MIL By 8-14 points
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
111.38
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
112.73
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Chicago
117
CHICAGO
Milwaukee
123
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.3% more
Milwaukee: 7.3
vs
Chicago: 5.3
Steals (L5)
+30.5% more
Milwaukee: 8.4
vs
Chicago: 6.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+18.6%
Chicago: 82.8%
vs
Milwaukee: 64.2%
Assists (L5)
+14.5% more
Chicago: 28.5
vs
Milwaukee: 24.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
111.4
106
MIL Score
112.7
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.8 / 40.3
36.1 / 37.8
Assists
24.3 / 28.5
30.0 / 25.0
Blocks
7.3 / 5.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.0 / 46.1
55.0 / 46.6
Free Throw %
64.2 / 82.8
67.7 / 100.0
Rebounding
43.2 / 44.2
45.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.5
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 14.8
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHI
MIL
CHI
ML
64%
61-35
56%
54-42
60%
49-32
57%
46-35
ATS
68%
65-31
65%
62-33-1
60%
49-32
57%
46-35
TTL
55%
53-43
58%
56-40
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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