PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
2-11 | Road
111
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
8-7 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
GRIZZLIES
0%
76ERS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.1
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.1 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -11.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
PHI By 1-7 points
9.1%
PHI By 8-14 points
2.6%
MEM By 1-7 points
21.5%
MEM By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
103.76
PHILADELPHIA
Memphis
114.87
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
103
PHILADELPHIA
Memphis
110
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.1
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MEM @ PHI
129 - 139
Dec 30, 2025
PHI @ MEM
139 - 136
Nov 20, 2024
PHI @ MEM
111 - 117
Nov 2, 2024
MEM @ PHI
124 - 107
Apr 6, 2024
PHI @ MEM
116 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+209.7% more
Memphis: 9.6
vs
Philadelphia: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+25.7% more
Memphis: 50.2
vs
Philadelphia: 40.0
Assists (L5)
+19.1% more
Memphis: 26.9
vs
Philadelphia: 22.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.6% more
Memphis: 17.7
vs
Philadelphia: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
103.8
111
MEM Score
114.9
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 29.6
44.2 / 33.3
Assists
26.9 / 22.6
29.0 / 21.0
Blocks
9.6 / 3.1
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 42.1
48.2 / 44.8
Free Throw %
75.4 / 81.3
100.0 / 91.7
Rebounding
50.2 / 40.0
41.0 / 41.0
Steals
9.5 / 9.4
5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
17.7 / 15.2
20.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
PHI
MEM
PHI
ML
57%
59-44
63%
69-40
50%
41-41
48%
45-48
ATS
63%
65-38
65%
71-38
50%
41-41
48%
45-48
TTL
70%
71-31-1
55%
60-49
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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