CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
5-8 | Road
115
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
5-9 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
NETS
100%
HORNETS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.3
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -4.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
27.4%
CHA By 8-14 points
22.0%
BKN By 1-7 points
19.7%
BKN By 8-14 points
9.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
109.5
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
105.25
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Charlotte
CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.3
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
CHA @ BKN
117 - 86
Dec 1, 2025
CHA @ BKN
103 - 116
Oct 22, 2025
BKN @ CHA
117 - 136
Mar 8, 2025
BKN @ CHA
102 - 105
Feb 10, 2025
CHA @ BKN
89 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+51.4% more
Charlotte: 9.0
vs
Brooklyn: 4.4
Blocks (L5)
+38.7% more
Charlotte: 4.8
vs
Brooklyn: 2.9
Rebounding (L5)
+19.6% more
Charlotte: 46.4
vs
Brooklyn: 37.3
Turnovers (L5)
+14.8% more
Charlotte: 13.8
vs
Brooklyn: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
109.5
115
BKN Score
105.3
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 35.1
43.9 / 54.1
Assists
27.4 / 26.7
31.0 / 25.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.8
8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 41.7
49.4 / 46.3
Free Throw %
82.4 / 80.0
73.7 / 86.4
Rebounding
37.3 / 46.4
36.0 / 44.0
Steals
4.4 / 9.0
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 13.8
15.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CHA
BKN
CHA
ML
53%
50-45
61%
60-39
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
60%
59-40
59%
48-34
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
54-41
58%
57-42
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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