MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
11-3-0 | Road
4
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
8-10-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.917 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.03 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.03
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
BLUES
100%
WILD
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.9%
STL By 1 goal
11.9%
STL By 2-3 goals
9.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
2.93
MINNESOTA
St. Louis
1.9
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wild (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
MIN @ STL
3 - 6
Mar 1, 2026
STL @ MIN
3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025
MIN @ STL
5 - 0
Mar 15, 2025
STL @ MIN
5 - 1
Jan 7, 2025
STL @ MIN
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+8.3%
Minnesota: 15.3%
vs
St. Louis: 7.0%
Hits (L5)
+23.2% more
St. Louis: 25.5
vs
Minnesota: 20.7
Takeaways (L5)
+16.3% more
St. Louis: 6.0
vs
Minnesota: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
2.9
4
STL Score
1.9
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 13.8
19.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
45.1 / 46.2
53.4 / 46.6
Hits
25.5 / 20.7
17.0 / 17.0
Power Play %
7.0 / 15.3
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 27.5
24.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 5.1
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
MIN
STL
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
100%
3-0
50%
1-1-1
67%
2-1
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