CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
5-9 | Road
122
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
7-8 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
PISTONS
100%
BULLS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.7 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -4.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-7 points
27.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
22.7%
DET By 1-7 points
19.0%
DET By 8-14 points
8.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
113.27
CHICAGO
Detroit
108.54
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.7
D
Sim
Bulls (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
DET @ CHI
126 - 110
Jan 7, 2026
CHI @ DET
93 - 108
Nov 12, 2025
CHI @ DET
113 - 124
Oct 22, 2025
DET @ CHI
111 - 115
Feb 12, 2025
DET @ CHI
128 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.5% more
Chicago: 16.7
vs
Detroit: 13.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.5%
Chicago: 84.9%
vs
Detroit: 74.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+17.5% more
Detroit: 50.8
vs
Chicago: 43.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
113.3
122
DET Score
108.5
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 35.4
34.1 / 50.0
Assists
26.7 / 28.7
27.0 / 28.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.5
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 44.9
42.9 / 48.4
Free Throw %
74.3 / 84.9
68.4 / 78.6
Rebounding
50.8 / 43.3
48.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.9 / 8.2
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 16.7
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHI
DET
CHI
ML
55%
64-53
56%
54-42
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
ATS
53%
60-54-3
65%
62-33-1
49%
47-49
57%
46-35
TTL
60%
70-46-1
58%
56-40
100%
96-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up