ANAHEIM
DUCKSANA
6-8-0 | Road
4
DALLAS
STARSDAL
11-5-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Lukas Dostal
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | None-None | 2.00 | 0.944 | -- |
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 4.18 | 0.852 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
4.18
0.944 Ldr
Save %
0.852
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
100%
STARS
0%
DUCKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
ANA By 1 goal
10.3%
ANA By 2-3 goals
7.3%
DAL By 1 goal
19.5%
DAL By 2-3 goals
32.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Anaheim
2.23
ANAHEIM
Dallas
3.53
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Anaheim
3
ANAHEIM
Dallas
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
DAL @ ANA
1 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
DAL @ ANA
8 - 3
Nov 6, 2025
ANA @ DAL
7 - 5
Mar 18, 2025
ANA @ DAL
3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DAL @ ANA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.6% more
Dallas: 7.0
vs
Anaheim: 5.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+32.3% more
Dallas: 37.5
vs
Anaheim: 28.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.4%
Dallas: 52.8%
vs
Anaheim: 42.4%
Hits (L5)
+37.2% more
Anaheim: 21.0
vs
Dallas: 13.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ANA Score
2.2
4
DAL Score
3.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 17.0
12.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
52.8 / 42.4
66.2 / 33.8
Hits
13.2 / 21.0
13.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
10.5 / 20.8
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
37.5 / 28.3
36.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
7.0 / 5.3
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
ANA
DAL
ANA
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
Contextual Game News
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