CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
5-7 | Road
114
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
14-0 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
HORNETS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHA By 1-7 points
25.3%
CHA By 8-14 points
15.3%
CLE By 1-7 points
25.4%
CLE By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
115.57
CHARLOTTE
Cleveland
115.58
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Cleveland
103
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
Hornets (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 20, 2026
CLE @ CHA
118 - 113
Jan 21, 2026
CLE @ CHA
94 - 87
Dec 22, 2025
CHA @ CLE
132 - 139
Dec 14, 2025
CHA @ CLE
119 - 111
Mar 7, 2025
CLE @ CHA
118 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.1% more
Cleveland: 10.2
vs
Charlotte: 7.4
Assists (L5)
+25.2% more
Cleveland: 28.9
vs
Charlotte: 23.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Cleveland: 51.5%
vs
Charlotte: 42.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Cleveland: 42.5%
vs
Charlotte: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
115.6
114
CLE Score
115.6
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.5 / 33.3
43.3 / 38.5
Assists
28.9 / 23.1
26.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.1
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 42.1
57.1 / 40.8
Free Throw %
81.4 / 78.4
96.4 / 83.3
Rebounding
41.7 / 49.6
48.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.2 / 7.4
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 15.6
20.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHA
CLE
CHA
ML
60%
69-46
61%
60-39
56%
55-44
48%
40-44
ATS
67%
75-37-3
60%
59-40
56%
55-44
48%
40-44
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
57-42
100%
99-0
100%
84-0
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