HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
9-4 | Road
143
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
5-8 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
0%
BULLS
100%
ROCKETS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-7 points
26.3%
HOU By 8-14 points
17.1%
CHI By 1-7 points
24.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
114.91
HOUSTON
Chicago
113.78
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Houston
107
HOUSTON
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rockets (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
HOU @ CHI
124 - 132
Jan 13, 2026
CHI @ HOU
113 - 119
Mar 15, 2025
CHI @ HOU
114 - 117
Nov 17, 2024
HOU @ CHI
143 - 107
Mar 21, 2024
CHI @ HOU
117 - 127
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.2% more
Houston: 6.3
vs
Chicago: 4.8
Rebounding (L5)
+20.9% more
Houston: 52.3
vs
Chicago: 41.4
Steals (L5)
+14.5% more
Houston: 9.7
vs
Chicago: 8.3
Turnovers (L5)
+25.1% more
Chicago: 17.6
vs
Houston: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
114.9
143
CHI Score
113.8
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.6 / 34.6
25.0 / 29.4
Assists
30.0 / 24.8
26.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.8 / 6.3
7.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
50.5 / 45.8
33.6 / 52.4
Free Throw %
79.6 / 76.2
95.5 / 71.9
Rebounding
41.4 / 52.3
47.0 / 66.0
Steals
8.3 / 9.7
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
17.6 / 14.1
15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
HOU
CHI
HOU
ML
56%
54-42
61%
69-44
57%
46-35
59%
51-35
ATS
65%
62-33-1
62%
70-43
57%
46-35
59%
51-35
TTL
58%
56-40
51%
58-55
100%
81-0
100%
86-0
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