Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 4.00 | 0.833 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.967 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.967
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
HURRICANES
0%
BLUES
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
STL By 1 goal
9.4%
STL By 2-3 goals
6.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.2%
CAR By 2-3 goals
33.8%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2.93
ST. LOUIS
Carolina
4.39
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
STL @ CAR
3 - 1
Jan 13, 2026
CAR @ STL
0 - 3
Nov 17, 2024
STL @ CAR
1 - 4
Oct 19, 2024
CAR @ STL
3 - 4
Apr 12, 2024
CAR @ STL
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+35.1% more
Carolina: 6.0
vs
St. Louis: 4.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+32.2% more
Carolina: 34.7
vs
St. Louis: 26.3
Power Play % (L5)
+10.9%
Carolina: 21.5%
vs
St. Louis: 10.6%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.0%
Carolina: 53.4%
vs
St. Louis: 49.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.9
1
CAR Score
4.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.4 / 13.4
6.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
53.4 / 49.4
63.5 / 36.5
Hits
15.1 / 25.2
16.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
21.5 / 10.6
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
34.7 / 26.3
24.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 4.5
7.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
STL
CAR
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
33%
1-2
TTL
0%
0-4
50%
1-1-1
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1