MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
4-8 | Road
114
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
4-7 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
HORNETS
100%
BUCKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.9%
MIL By 8-14 points
24.3%
CHA By 1-7 points
17.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
108.94
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
102.95
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
109
MILWAUKEE
Charlotte
102
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 211.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 2, 2026
CHA @ MIL
121 - 122
Dec 29, 2025
MIL @ CHA
123 - 113
Nov 14, 2025
CHA @ MIL
134 - 147
Nov 12, 2025
MIL @ CHA
100 - 111
Feb 5, 2025
MIL @ CHA
112 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.1% more
Milwaukee: 7.5
vs
Charlotte: 4.2
Steals (L5)
+23.5% more
Milwaukee: 10.0
vs
Charlotte: 7.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Milwaukee: 36.9%
vs
Charlotte: 32.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Milwaukee: 45.7%
vs
Charlotte: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
108.9
114
CHA Score
103.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 36.9
35.7 / 41.7
Assists
22.2 / 23.5
25.0 / 31.0
Blocks
4.2 / 7.5
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 45.7
44.1 / 51.1
Free Throw %
74.7 / 74.3
85.7 / 45.5
Rebounding
48.0 / 44.9
53.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.6 / 10.0
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
18.5 / 13.5
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
MIL
CHA
MIL
ML
61%
60-39
64%
61-35
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
ATS
60%
59-40
68%
65-31
48%
40-44
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
57-42
55%
53-43
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
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