OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
8-7-0 | Road
0
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
11-4-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
SENATORS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
OTT By 1 goal
4.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
2.4%
CAR By 1 goal
15.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
38.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
3.26
OTTAWA
Carolina
5.65
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Carolina
6
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.4
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 25, 2026
CAR @ OTT
4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026
CAR @ OTT
2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026
OTT @ CAR
2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
OTT @ CAR
0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026
CAR @ OTT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.0%
Carolina: 56.0%
vs
Ottawa: 54.0%
Hits (L5)
+52.1% more
Ottawa: 27.4
vs
Carolina: 13.1
Takeaways (L5)
+16.7% more
Ottawa: 6.7
vs
Carolina: 5.6
Power Play % (L5)
+9.9%
Ottawa: 22.0%
vs
Carolina: 12.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
3.3
0
CAR Score
5.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.1 / 14.3
6.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
56.0 / 54.0
48.2 / 51.8
Hits
13.1 / 27.4
19.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
12.2 / 22.0
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
38.1 / 36.0
28.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 6.7
7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
OTT
CAR
OTT
ML
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
100%
4-0
67%
2-1
TTL
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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