DALLAS
STARSDAL
10-5-0 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
11-2-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Filip Gustavsson
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 1.00 | 0.957 | -- |
| Filip Gustavsson | None-None | 2.08 | 0.950 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.08
0.957 Ldr
Save %
0.950
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
0%
WILD
100%
STARS
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
DAL By 1 goal
19.5%
DAL By 2-3 goals
32.4%
MIN By 1 goal
10.4%
MIN By 2-3 goals
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
4.11
DALLAS
Minnesota
2.82
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Dallas
3
DALLAS
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026
MIN @ DAL
4 - 2
Apr 25, 2026
DAL @ MIN
2 - 3
Apr 22, 2026
DAL @ MIN
4 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
MIN @ DAL
6 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+20.6% more
Dallas: 6.6
vs
Minnesota: 5.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.8% more
Dallas: 36.2
vs
Minnesota: 29.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.8%
Dallas: 50.6%
vs
Minnesota: 47.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+43.9% more
Minnesota: 13.8
vs
Dallas: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
4.1
2
MIN Score
2.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.8 / 9.6
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
47.8 / 50.6
42.9 / 57.1
Hits
16.5 / 12.8
29.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
2300.0 / 1580.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
29.8 / 36.2
23.0 / 40.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 6.6
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
DAL
MIN
DAL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
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