PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
2-9 | Road
86
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
7-6 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
76ERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
PHI By 1-7 points
16.4%
PHI By 8-14 points
6.5%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
24.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
102.37
PHILADELPHIA
Orlando
108.68
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
122
PHILADELPHIA
Orlando
108
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
76ers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
ORL @ PHI
97 - 109
Jan 9, 2026
PHI @ ORL
103 - 91
Nov 25, 2025
ORL @ PHI
144 - 103
Oct 27, 2025
ORL @ PHI
124 - 136
Oct 10, 2025
ORL @ PHI
128 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+130.7% more
Orlando: 7.4
vs
Philadelphia: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+11.8% more
Orlando: 25.3
vs
Philadelphia: 22.6
Rebounding (L5)
+8.8% more
Orlando: 45.0
vs
Philadelphia: 41.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
102.4
86
ORL Score
108.7
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 32.1
29.7 / 32.3
Assists
25.3 / 22.6
15.0 / 19.0
Blocks
7.4 / 3.2
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 43.3
43.6 / 40.3
Free Throw %
83.0 / 83.9
86.4 / 85.7
Rebounding
45.0 / 41.4
43.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.8 / 8.6
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 13.8
18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
PHI
ORL
PHI
ML
61%
65-42
63%
69-40
56%
51-40
48%
45-48
ATS
64%
68-38-1
65%
71-38
56%
51-40
48%
45-48
TTL
57%
61-46
55%
60-49
100%
91-0
100%
93-0
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