DETROIT
PISTONSDET
5-8 | Road
99
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
2-10 | Home
95
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
PISTONS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
27.3%
DET By 8-14 points
21.1%
TOR By 1-7 points
20.7%
TOR By 8-14 points
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
111.48
DETROIT
Toronto
107.84
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Detroit
107
DETROIT
Toronto
114
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
TOR @ DET
116 - 127
Mar 15, 2026
DET @ TOR
108 - 119
Feb 11, 2026
DET @ TOR
113 - 95
Apr 4, 2025
DET @ TOR
117 - 105
Jan 11, 2025
TOR @ DET
114 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.4% more
Detroit: 6.0
vs
Toronto: 4.1
Assists (L5)
+8.3% more
Detroit: 27.8
vs
Toronto: 25.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Detroit: 38.6%
vs
Toronto: 33.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Detroit: 46.5%
vs
Toronto: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
111.5
99
TOR Score
107.8
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 38.6
25.8 / 21.1
Assists
25.5 / 27.8
21.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.1 / 6.0
6.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 46.5
36.1 / 41.1
Free Throw %
75.9 / 75.6
77.3 / 65.0
Rebounding
45.5 / 48.1
53.0 / 56.0
Steals
8.0 / 5.5
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
17.1 / 16.9
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
TOR
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
DET
TOR
DET
ML
55%
57-47
55%
64-53
55%
48-39
49%
47-49
ATS
61%
62-40-2
53%
60-54-3
55%
48-39
49%
47-49
TTL
60%
62-42
60%
70-46-1
100%
87-0
100%
96-0
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