CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
5-7 | Road
126
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
13-0 | Home
144
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
BULLS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
241.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHI By 1-7 points
24.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
13.6%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
120.32
CHICAGO
Cleveland
121.41
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
105
CHICAGO
Cleveland
110
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 241.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.3% more
Cleveland: 9.8
vs
Chicago: 8.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Cleveland: 39.4%
vs
Chicago: 37.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+31.2% more
Chicago: 17.9
vs
Cleveland: 12.3
Blocks (L5)
+30.0% more
Chicago: 5.1
vs
Cleveland: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
120.3
126
CLE Score
121.4
144
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.4 / 37.1
48.8 / 47.6
Assists
26.9 / 29.1
33.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.9 / 50.2
54.8 / 51.1
Free Throw %
78.3 / 79.3
87.5 / 80.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 44.1
40.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.8 / 8.9
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 17.9
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHI
CLE
CHI
ML
60%
69-46
56%
54-42
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
ATS
67%
75-37-3
65%
62-33-1
56%
55-44
57%
46-35
TTL
59%
68-47
58%
56-40
100%
99-0
100%
81-0
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