LA
CLIPPERSLAC
6-6 | Road
104
HOUSTON
ROCKETSHOU
8-4 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
ROCKETS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
ROCKETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
LAC By 1-7 points
17.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
7.3%
HOU By 1-7 points
27.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
23.8%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
109.43
LA
Houston
115.02
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
LA
109
LA
Houston
114
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rockets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rockets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim
Rockets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 11, 2026
LAC @ HOU
105 - 102
Feb 10, 2026
LAC @ HOU
95 - 102
Dec 23, 2025
HOU @ LAC
108 - 128
Dec 11, 2025
LAC @ HOU
113 - 115
Apr 9, 2025
HOU @ LAC
117 - 134
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+80.4% more
Houston: 7.9
vs
LA: 4.4
Rebounding (L5)
+23.3% more
Houston: 54.5
vs
LA: 44.2
Steals (L5)
+14.0% more
Houston: 9.0
vs
LA: 7.9
Assists (L5)
+15.3% more
LA: 25.6
vs
Houston: 21.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
109.4
104
HOU Score
115.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 42.6
43.2 / 25.0
Assists
21.7 / 25.6
31.0 / 12.0
Blocks
7.9 / 4.4
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 46.4
48.4 / 37.8
Free Throw %
75.3 / 77.9
77.8 / 78.8
Rebounding
54.5 / 44.2
48.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.0 / 7.9
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 16.8
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
Advantage
54-34-0
(61.4%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
HOU
38-50-0
(43.2%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LAC
HOU
LAC
ML
61%
69-44
60%
59-40
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
ATS
62%
70-43
66%
65-33-1
59%
51-35
55%
45-37
TTL
51%
58-55
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…