WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
10-4-0 | Road
5
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
9-8-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Trent Miner
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 2.00 | 0.895 | -- |
| Trent Miner | None-None | 1.72 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00
GAA
Ldr 1.72
0.895
Save %
Ldr 0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
AVALANCHE
0%
CAPITALS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around COL -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
WSH By 1 goal
10.4%
WSH By 2-3 goals
7.3%
COL By 1 goal
19.5%
COL By 2-3 goals
32.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
3.42
WASHINGTON
Colorado
4.71
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Washington
1
WASHINGTON
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.3
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
COL @ WSH
3 - 2
Jan 19, 2026
WSH @ COL
2 - 5
Nov 21, 2024
COL @ WSH
2 - 1
Nov 15, 2024
WSH @ COL
5 - 2
Feb 13, 2024
COL @ WSH
6 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+112.1% more
Colorado: 5.6
vs
Washington: 2.6
Hits (L5)
+15.9% more
Washington: 21.3
vs
Colorado: 17.9
Power Play % (L5)
+14.3%
Washington: 24.6%
vs
Colorado: 10.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.4%
Washington: 49.7%
vs
Colorado: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
3.4
5
COL Score
4.7
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 17.1
14.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
40.3 / 49.7
49.2 / 50.8
Hits
17.9 / 21.3
15.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
10.3 / 24.6
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.7 / 29.0
19.0 / 20.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 2.6
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
WSH
COL
WSH
ML
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show at Capitals' Home Opener as Washi…
Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…