BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
8-7-0 | Road
2
DALLAS
STARSDAL
9-5-0 | Home
7
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 7.00 | 0.816 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 2.00 | 0.920 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
7.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.816
Save %
Ldr 0.920
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
STARS
0%
BRUINS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
BOS By 1 goal
12.6%
BOS By 2-3 goals
10.0%
DAL By 1 goal
19.7%
DAL By 2-3 goals
28.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.02
BOSTON
Dallas
2.93
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
DAL @ BOS
3 - 6
Jan 20, 2026
BOS @ DAL
2 - 6
Nov 14, 2024
BOS @ DAL
2 - 7
Oct 24, 2024
DAL @ BOS
5 - 2
Feb 19, 2024
DAL @ BOS
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.6% more
Dallas: 35.3
vs
Boston: 27.7
Power Play % (L5)
+21.2%
Dallas: 23.7%
vs
Boston: 2.5%
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.8%
Dallas: 54.4%
vs
Boston: 51.6%
Hits (L5)
+45.6% more
Boston: 29.8
vs
Dallas: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.0
2
DAL Score
2.9
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.8 / 13.5
9.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 51.6
42.9 / 57.1
Hits
16.2 / 29.8
6.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
2370.0 / 254.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
35.3 / 27.7
38.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 5.2
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
BOS
DAL
BOS
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
3-0
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
Maple Leafs' Accountability Moment: Hiller Benches Nylander, Ech…