NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
6-6-0 | Road
5
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
8-3-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Semyon Varlamov
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov | None-None | 2.01 | 0.923 | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 4.20 | 0.871 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.01 Ldr
GAA
4.20
0.923 Ldr
Save %
0.871
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
CANUCKS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Vancouver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)
NYI By 1 goal
14.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
12.1%
VAN By 1 goal
19.5%
VAN By 2-3 goals
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.29
NEW YORK
Vancouver
2.95
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
New York
4
NEW YORK
Vancouver
3
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Islanders (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
NYI @ VAN
4 - 3
Dec 19, 2025
VAN @ NYI
4 - 1
Mar 26, 2025
VAN @ NYI
5 - 2
Nov 14, 2024
NYI @ VAN
5 - 2
Jan 9, 2024
VAN @ NYI
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+25.8%
Vancouver: 30.2%
vs
New York: 4.4%
Hits (L5)
+23.4% more
Vancouver: 26.4
vs
New York: 21.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.8% more
Vancouver: 27.5
vs
New York: 25.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.4%
Vancouver: 54.4%
vs
New York: 51.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.3
5
VAN Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.5 / 16.3
14.0 / 16.0
Faceoff %
54.4 / 51.9
40.7 / 59.3
Hits
26.4 / 21.4
26.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
30.2 / 4.4
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 25.3
26.0 / 32.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.8
6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
NYI
VAN
NYI
ML
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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