BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
9-3 | Road
139
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
5-6 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
NETS
100%
CELTICS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.6 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -13.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
17.7%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.5%
BKN By 1-7 points
6.2%
BKN By 8-14 points
1.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
123.15
BOSTON
Brooklyn
109.6
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Boston
112
BOSTON
Brooklyn
107
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.6
D
Sim
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 232.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 27, 2026
BKN @ BOS
111 - 148
Jan 23, 2026
BOS @ BKN
130 - 126
Nov 21, 2025
BKN @ BOS
113 - 105
Nov 18, 2025
BOS @ BKN
113 - 99
Mar 18, 2025
BKN @ BOS
96 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.3% more
Boston: 4.8
vs
Brooklyn: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+20.3% more
Boston: 7.0
vs
Brooklyn: 5.6
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Brooklyn: 16.2
vs
Boston: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
123.2
139
BKN Score
109.6
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 35.8
44.2 / 47.8
Assists
24.4 / 25.7
26.0 / 35.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.8
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 45.6
50.6 / 53.8
Free Throw %
83.1 / 83.1
83.3 / 70.8
Rebounding
41.8 / 40.1
34.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.0
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 15.0
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
BOS
BKN
BOS
ML
53%
50-45
57%
61-46
59%
48-34
53%
47-41
ATS
52%
48-44-3
59%
61-43-3
59%
48-34
53%
47-41
TTL
57%
54-41
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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