CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
12-0 | Road
114
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
2-8 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
76ERS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.5%
CLE By 8-14 points
17.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
23.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
115.34
CLEVELAND
Philadelphia
113.9
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Cleveland
112
CLEVELAND
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.4
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
PHI @ CLE
101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026
CLE @ PHI
117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026
CLE @ PHI
133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025
PHI @ CLE
121 - 132
Jan 24, 2025
CLE @ PHI
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.5% more
Cleveland: 4.9
vs
Philadelphia: 3.8
Assists (L5)
+21.0% more
Cleveland: 27.8
vs
Philadelphia: 22.0
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Cleveland: 10.6
vs
Philadelphia: 8.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
Cleveland: 50.2%
vs
Philadelphia: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
115.3
114
PHI Score
113.9
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 39.1
32.6 / 40.0
Assists
22.0 / 27.8
24.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 50.2
44.6 / 49.4
Free Throw %
80.4 / 76.2
90.9 / 82.4
Rebounding
39.6 / 40.9
45.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.9 / 10.6
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 13.0
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CLE
PHI
CLE
ML
63%
69-40
60%
69-46
48%
45-48
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
71-38
67%
75-37-3
48%
45-48
56%
55-44
TTL
55%
60-49
59%
68-47
100%
93-0
100%
99-0
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