DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
6-7-0 | Road
3
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
6-9-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Moritz Seider
#53 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
0%
PENGUINS
100%
RED WINGS
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around DET -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
18.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
20.4%
PIT By 1 goal
16.7%
PIT By 2-3 goals
17.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.48
DETROIT
Pittsburgh
2.32
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 31, 2026
DET @ PIT
1 - 5
Jan 3, 2026
PIT @ DET
4 - 1
Jan 1, 2026
DET @ PIT
3 - 4
Sep 29, 2025
PIT @ DET
2 - 1
Sep 26, 2025
DET @ PIT
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+10.0%
Detroit: 18.2%
vs
Pittsburgh: 8.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
Detroit: 54.0%
vs
Pittsburgh: 49.9%
Hits (L5)
+70.8% more
Pittsburgh: 19.6
vs
Detroit: 11.5
Takeaways (L5)
+31.7% more
Pittsburgh: 6.4
vs
Detroit: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.5
3
PIT Score
2.3
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.2 / 15.2
17.0 / 24.0
Faceoff %
49.9 / 54.0
45.5 / 54.5
Hits
19.6 / 11.5
18.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
8.2 / 18.2
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
29.1 / 27.7
33.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 4.9
5.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
DET
PIT
DET
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
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