CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
4-6 | Road
89
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
5-6 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
MAGIC
0%
HORNETS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.9
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.9 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -6.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
CHA By 1-7 points
15.5%
CHA By 8-14 points
5.9%
ORL By 1-7 points
26.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
25.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
107.07
CHARLOTTE
Orlando
113.96
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Charlotte
109
CHARLOTTE
Orlando
112
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.9
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 17, 2026
CHA @ ORL
90 - 121
Mar 19, 2026
ORL @ CHA
111 - 130
Jan 22, 2026
CHA @ ORL
124 - 97
Dec 26, 2025
CHA @ ORL
120 - 105
Oct 30, 2025
ORL @ CHA
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+19.7% more
Orlando: 5.7
vs
Charlotte: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Orlando: 25.0
vs
Charlotte: 22.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Orlando: 45.8%
vs
Charlotte: 41.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+13.2% more
Charlotte: 16.7
vs
Orlando: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
107.1
89
ORL Score
114.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 31.1
29.5 / 34.2
Assists
25.0 / 22.2
25.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.8
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 41.3
46.2 / 40.5
Free Throw %
82.2 / 83.5
78.9 / 57.1
Rebounding
42.3 / 47.9
43.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.8 / 8.0
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 16.7
11.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
CHA
ORL
CHA
ML
61%
65-42
61%
60-39
56%
51-40
48%
40-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
60%
59-40
56%
51-40
48%
40-44
TTL
57%
61-46
58%
57-42
100%
91-0
100%
84-0
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