Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.00 | 0.909 | -- |
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 3.08 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.08
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
BLUES
0%
BRUINS
--
BLUES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
BOS By 1 goal
14.4%
BOS By 2-3 goals
12.7%
STL By 1 goal
19.4%
STL By 2-3 goals
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
1.42
BOSTON
St. Louis
2.02
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blues
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blues (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
BOS @ STL
5 - 2
Dec 4, 2025
STL @ BOS
2 - 5
Nov 16, 2024
STL @ BOS
3 - 2
Nov 12, 2024
BOS @ STL
3 - 2
Mar 11, 2024
STL @ BOS
5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+32.9% more
Boston: 5.7
vs
St. Louis: 3.9
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Boston: 30.1
vs
St. Louis: 25.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.1% more
Boston: 26.5
vs
St. Louis: 22.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+9.9% more
Boston: 15.2
vs
St. Louis: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
1.4
3
STL Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 15.2
10.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
46.4 / 50.3
45.8 / 54.2
Hits
25.1 / 30.1
17.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
2.3 / 3.8
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.5 / 26.5
22.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 5.7
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
BOS
STL
BOS
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
50%
1-1-1
75%
3-1
50%
1-1-1
0%
0-4