NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
6-6-0 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
7-7-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ty Emberson
#49 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 3.89 | 0.905 | -- |
| Ty Emberson | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.89
GAA
--
0.905
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
OILERS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
NYI By 1 goal
17.0%
NYI By 2-3 goals
17.5%
EDM By 1 goal
17.9%
EDM By 2-3 goals
19.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2.53
NEW YORK
Edmonton
2.64
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 15, 2026
NYI @ EDM
1 - 0
Oct 16, 2025
EDM @ NYI
2 - 4
Mar 14, 2025
EDM @ NYI
2 - 1
Nov 12, 2024
NYI @ EDM
3 - 4
Dec 19, 2023
EDM @ NYI
1 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.2% more
Edmonton: 31.0
vs
New York: 26.9
Power Play % (L5)
+9.9%
Edmonton: 16.5%
vs
New York: 6.6%
Hits (L5)
+38.1% more
New York: 24.6
vs
Edmonton: 15.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+27.8% more
New York: 15.5
vs
Edmonton: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.5
3
EDM Score
2.6
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.2 / 15.5
14.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.5 / 54.5
53.3 / 46.7
Hits
15.2 / 24.6
7.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
16.5 / 6.6
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.0 / 26.9
42.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 6.8
10.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
NYI
EDM
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
Contextual Game News
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