CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
8-5-0 | Road
1
VANCOUVER
CANUCKSVAN
7-3-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Brayden Pachal
#94 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kevin Lankinen
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Pachal | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kevin Lankinen | None-None | 1.01 | 0.966 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.01
--
Save %
0.966
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
CANUCKS
100%
FLAMES
--
CANUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
CGY By 1 goal
17.9%
CGY By 2-3 goals
19.7%
VAN By 1 goal
17.0%
VAN By 2-3 goals
17.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
1.98
CALGARY
Vancouver
1.88
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
Calgary
5
CALGARY
Vancouver
4
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Flames (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CGY @ VAN
1 - 4
Mar 28, 2026
VAN @ CGY
3 - 7
Nov 23, 2025
CGY @ VAN
5 - 2
Oct 9, 2025
CGY @ VAN
1 - 5
Oct 1, 2025
VAN @ CGY
8 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+45.8% more
Calgary: 22.6
vs
Vancouver: 12.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+15.4% more
Calgary: 29.8
vs
Vancouver: 25.2
Hits (L5)
+40.8% more
Vancouver: 30.1
vs
Calgary: 21.4
Power Play % (L5)
+20.2%
Vancouver: 28.7%
vs
Calgary: 8.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.0
1
VAN Score
1.9
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.3 / 22.6
16.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 47.8
59.0 / 41.0
Hits
30.1 / 21.4
19.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
28.7 / 8.5
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 29.8
32.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 5.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
CGY
VAN
CGY
ML
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
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