TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
2-7 | Road
103
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
5-4 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
RAPTORS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.7
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.7 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -7.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
TOR By 1-7 points
14.2%
TOR By 8-14 points
5.1%
LAC By 1-7 points
25.7%
LAC By 8-14 points
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
108.19
TORONTO
LA
115.86
LA
Simulated Score
Toronto
102
TORONTO
LA
116
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.7
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 25, 2026
TOR @ LAC
94 - 119
Jan 16, 2026
LAC @ TOR
121 - 117
Feb 2, 2025
LAC @ TOR
108 - 115
Nov 9, 2024
TOR @ LAC
103 - 105
Jan 26, 2024
LAC @ TOR
127 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.3% more
LA: 18.2
vs
Toronto: 14.4
Blocks (L5)
+14.0% more
LA: 3.7
vs
Toronto: 3.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
LA: 42.5%
vs
Toronto: 33.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.8%
LA: 80.6%
vs
Toronto: 72.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
108.2
103
LAC Score
115.9
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.5 / 33.1
38.5 / 29.7
Assists
23.9 / 31.1
18.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.2
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 48.2
46.1 / 42.1
Free Throw %
80.6 / 72.7
78.1 / 57.1
Rebounding
43.3 / 40.8
47.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.0
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
18.2 / 14.4
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
TOR
LAC
TOR
ML
60%
59-40
55%
57-47
55%
45-37
55%
48-39
ATS
66%
65-33-1
61%
62-40-2
55%
45-37
55%
48-39
TTL
59%
58-40-1
60%
62-42
100%
82-0
100%
87-0
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