OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
6-7-0 | Road
3
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
7-7-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.99 | 0.875 | -- |
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 2.98 | 0.912 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.99 Ldr
GAA
2.98
0.875
Save %
Ldr 0.912
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SENATORS
100%
BRUINS
0%
SENATORS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
OTT By 1 goal
13.9%
OTT By 2-3 goals
11.9%
BOS By 1 goal
19.5%
BOS By 2-3 goals
26.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Ottawa
2.12
OTTAWA
Boston
2.81
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Boston
4
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
OTT @ BOS
4 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
OTT @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 13, 2025
BOS @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 6, 2025
OTT @ BOS
2 - 3
Oct 27, 2025
BOS @ OTT
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+11.8% more
Boston: 7.1
vs
Ottawa: 6.4
Hits (L5)
+20.1% more
Ottawa: 30.3
vs
Boston: 24.2
Power Play % (L5)
+14.5%
Ottawa: 20.2%
vs
Boston: 5.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OTT Score
2.1
3
BOS Score
2.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 14.1
16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 52.0
47.1 / 52.9
Hits
24.2 / 30.3
42.0 / 35.0
Power Play %
5.7 / 20.2
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
31.7 / 32.3
16.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
7.1 / 6.4
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
OTT
BOS
OTT
ML
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
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