LA
CLIPPERSLAC
4-4 | Road
107
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
5-3 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
19.6%
SAC By 1-7 points
22.1%
SAC By 8-14 points
11.1%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110.15
LA
Sacramento
107.46
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
LA
96
LA
Sacramento
101
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 197.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+21.1% more
LA: 16.8
vs
Sacramento: 13.3
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
LA: 9.5
vs
Sacramento: 8.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
LA: 40.4%
vs
Sacramento: 31.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+10.1% more
Sacramento: 45.1
vs
LA: 40.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.2
107
SAC Score
107.5
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 40.4
11.5 / 46.7
Assists
24.8 / 25.9
19.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.5
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 49.2
47.4 / 44.4
Free Throw %
84.4 / 75.2
87.5 / 91.3
Rebounding
45.1 / 40.9
35.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.6 / 9.5
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 16.8
14.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
LAC
SAC
LAC
ML
55%
55-45
60%
59-40
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
ATS
54%
52-45-3
66%
65-33-1
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
TTL
58%
57-42-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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