Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Lakers PHI @ LAL

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-6  |  Road

106
FINAL
Fri, Nov 8 • 10:00 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

4-4  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
LAKERS
100%
76ERS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

69.3%

Lakers Cover

30.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

27.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

23.1%

LAL By 1-7 points

18.5%

LAL By 8-14 points

7.9%

AI Model Projected Score
106.78
PHILADELPHIA
101.73
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
112
PHILADELPHIA
117
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 208.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 PHI @ LAL 115 - 119
Dec 7, 2025 LAL @ PHI 112 - 108
Jan 28, 2025 LAL @ PHI 104 - 118
Nov 8, 2024 PHI @ LAL 106 - 116
Mar 22, 2024 PHI @ LAL 94 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.8% more
Philadelphia: 3.5 vs Los Angeles: 2.3
Turnovers (L5) +20.0% more
Philadelphia: 16.2 vs Los Angeles: 13.0
Steals (L5) +16.6% more
Philadelphia: 9.6 vs Los Angeles: 8.0
Assists (L5) +23.3% more
Los Angeles: 25.6 vs Philadelphia: 20.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 106.8 106
LAL Score 101.7 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 32.7 45.7 / 33.3
Assists 25.6 / 20.7 28.0 / 28.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.5 13.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 46.7 51.8 / 40.6
Free Throw % 80.2 / 73.4 85.7 / 65.2
Rebounding 39.4 / 36.6 45.0 / 44.0
Steals 8.0 / 9.6 1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 16.2 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
PHI
LAL
PHI
ML
61% 68-43
63% 69-40
54% 49-42
48% 45-48
ATS
61% 67-43-1
65% 71-38
54% 49-42
48% 45-48
TTL
61% 66-43-2
55% 60-49
100% 91-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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