Home / NFL Projections NFL / Titans @ Chargers TEN @ LAC

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

2-6  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

CHARGERSLAC

5-3  |  Home

27
Key Game
Julius Chestnut
KEY GAME

Julius Chestnut

#36 | Running Back
@
JK Scott
KEY GAME

JK Scott

#16 | Punter
Player
Julius Chestnut None-None
JK Scott None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
CHARGERS
0%
TITANS --
CHARGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Los Angeles)
TitansTEN (-3.5) 0 ChargersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

43.9%

Chargers Cover

56.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAC -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

TEN By 1-6 points

15.7%

TEN By 7-13 points

13.7%

LAC By 1-6 points

16.9%

LAC By 7-13 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
17.38
TENNESSEE
19.52
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
23
TENNESSEE
17
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Chargers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Chargers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim Titans (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 40.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 2, 2025 LAC @ TEN 27 - 20
Nov 10, 2024 TEN @ LAC 17 - 27
Sep 17, 2023 LAC @ TEN 24 - 27
Dec 18, 2022 TEN @ LAC 14 - 17
Oct 20, 2019 LAC @ TEN 20 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +19.0% more
Los Angeles: 241.4 vs Tennessee: 202.9
Yards Per Play (L5) +10.6% more
Los Angeles: 5.6 vs Tennessee: 5.1
Turnovers (L5) +79.2% more
Tennessee: 2.0 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Rushing Yards (L5) +28.5% more
Tennessee: 140.5 vs Los Angeles: 100.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 17.4 17
LAC Score 19.5 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.5 / 20.8 23.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards 241.4 / 202.9 164.0 / 157.0
Rushing Yards 100.4 / 140.5 145.0 / 132.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 341.8 / 343.3 309.0 / 289.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 2.0 0.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.6 / 5.1 5.4 / 5.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
LAC
0-3-1 (0.0%)
Margin: -9.8 ATS +/-: -10.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
LAC
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
TEN
LAC
TEN
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3-1
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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