MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
4-3 | Road
135
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
3-5 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
BULLS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -2.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
MIN By 1-7 points
22.2%
MIN By 8-14 points
11.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
27.1%
CHI By 8-14 points
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
114.45
MINNESOTA
Chicago
117.08
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
112
MINNESOTA
Chicago
106
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.6
D
Sim
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 22, 2026
CHI @ MIN
120 - 115
Dec 29, 2025
MIN @ CHI
136 - 101
Oct 16, 2025
MIN @ CHI
120 - 126
Feb 5, 2025
CHI @ MIN
108 - 127
Nov 7, 2024
MIN @ CHI
135 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.2% more
Chicago: 47.1
vs
Minnesota: 40.5
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Chicago: 28.1
vs
Minnesota: 25.6
Blocks (L5)
+32.2% more
Minnesota: 5.5
vs
Chicago: 3.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Minnesota: 40.8%
vs
Chicago: 35.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
114.5
135
CHI Score
117.1
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 40.8
41.7 / 42.1
Assists
28.1 / 25.6
30.0 / 29.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.5
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 48.8
53.4 / 54.8
Free Throw %
74.0 / 72.9
66.7 / 100.0
Rebounding
47.1 / 40.5
32.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.9
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 15.4
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIN
CHI
MIN
ML
56%
54-42
54%
63-53
57%
46-35
54%
50-43
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
67-49
57%
46-35
54%
50-43
TTL
58%
56-40
63%
72-43-1
100%
81-0
100%
93-0
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