PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
5-7-0 | Road
1
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
9-2-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 1.00 | 0.972 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.00
--
Save %
0.972
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
PENGUINS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
PIT By 1 goal
14.9%
PIT By 2-3 goals
13.4%
CAR By 1 goal
19.2%
CAR By 2-3 goals
24.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
3.5
PITTSBURGH
Carolina
4.02
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Carolina
5
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CAR @ PIT
5 - 1
Mar 18, 2026
PIT @ CAR
5 - 6
Mar 10, 2026
PIT @ CAR
4 - 5
Dec 30, 2025
CAR @ PIT
1 - 5
Jan 5, 2025
PIT @ CAR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.5% more
Carolina: 37.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 32.5
Hits (L5)
+30.2% more
Pittsburgh: 20.0
vs
Carolina: 13.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.8% more
Pittsburgh: 13.7
vs
Carolina: 9.8
Power Play % (L5)
+13.1%
Pittsburgh: 27.8%
vs
Carolina: 14.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
3.5
1
CAR Score
4.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.8 / 13.7
18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
45.8 / 52.7
52.6 / 47.4
Hits
13.9 / 20.0
11.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
1474.0 / 2780.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
37.8 / 32.5
18.0 / 36.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 6.1
7.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
PIT
CAR
PIT
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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