CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
5-8-0 | Road
1
DALLAS
STARSDAL
7-4-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arvid Soderblom
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Oettinger
#29 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | None-None | 2.02 | 0.949 | -- |
| Jake Oettinger | None-None | 1.01 | 0.962 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.02
GAA
Ldr 1.01
0.949
Save %
Ldr 0.962
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
STARS
0%
BLACKHAWKS
--
STARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
CHI By 1 goal
15.6%
CHI By 2-3 goals
14.7%
DAL By 1 goal
18.8%
DAL By 2-3 goals
22.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.06
CHICAGO
Dallas
3.44
DALLAS
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Dallas
5
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Stars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Stars
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Stars (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ DAL
3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026
DAL @ CHI
3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025
CHI @ DAL
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024
DAL @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 27, 2024
DAL @ CHI
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+12.6% more
Dallas: 20.1
vs
Chicago: 17.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.5%
Dallas: 50.3%
vs
Chicago: 46.8%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+32.8% more
Chicago: 17.8
vs
Dallas: 12.0
Power Play % (L5)
+1.8%
Chicago: 25.6%
vs
Dallas: 23.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
3.1
1
DAL Score
3.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 17.8
11.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 46.8
71.4 / 28.6
Hits
20.1 / 17.9
15.0 / 39.0
Power Play %
23.8 / 25.6
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.4 / 27.5
40.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 5.4
3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CHI
DAL
CHI
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
ATS
0%
0-3
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1-1
Contextual Game News
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