DETROIT
PISTONSDET
3-5 | Road
107
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
2-5 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
HORNETS
100%
PISTONS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
26.2%
DET By 8-14 points
25.4%
CHA By 1-7 points
15.2%
CHA By 8-14 points
5.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
111.06
DETROIT
Charlotte
104.01
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Detroit
102
DETROIT
Charlotte
110
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 215.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 212.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
DET @ CHA
118 - 100
Feb 9, 2026
DET @ CHA
110 - 104
Dec 20, 2025
CHA @ DET
86 - 112
Feb 9, 2025
CHA @ DET
102 - 112
Jan 3, 2025
CHA @ DET
94 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.9% more
Detroit: 5.9
vs
Charlotte: 3.3
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Detroit: 48.3
vs
Charlotte: 40.0
Turnovers (L5)
+9.1% more
Detroit: 17.0
vs
Charlotte: 15.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
Detroit: 77.9%
vs
Charlotte: 72.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
111.1
107
CHA Score
104.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 30.6
31.8 / 31.3
Assists
22.0 / 23.0
22.0 / 34.0
Blocks
3.3 / 5.9
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.6 / 47.1
43.3 / 48.9
Free Throw %
72.2 / 77.9
100.0 / 55.6
Rebounding
40.0 / 48.3
47.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.6 / 5.4
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 17.0
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
DET
CHA
DET
ML
61%
60-39
55%
64-53
48%
40-44
49%
47-49
ATS
60%
59-40
53%
60-54-3
48%
40-44
49%
47-49
TTL
58%
57-42
60%
70-46-1
100%
84-0
100%
96-0
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