NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
4-7-0 | Road
2
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
8-3-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 3.08 | 0.917 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.00 | 0.943 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.08
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.917
Save %
Ldr 0.943
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
0%
CAPITALS
100%
PREDATORS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Nashville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NSH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)
NSH By 1 goal
18.4%
NSH By 2-3 goals
21.3%
WSH By 1 goal
16.4%
WSH By 2-3 goals
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
3.53
NASHVILLE
Washington
3.29
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Nashville
2
NASHVILLE
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Predators
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Predators (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
NSH @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ NSH
2 - 3
Jan 11, 2025
WSH @ NSH
4 - 1
Nov 6, 2024
NSH @ WSH
2 - 3
Dec 30, 2023
NSH @ WSH
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+22.9% more
Nashville: 25.8
vs
Washington: 19.9
Power Play % (L5)
+20.7%
Nashville: 32.5%
vs
Washington: 11.9%
Takeaways (L5)
+16.8% more
Nashville: 4.1
vs
Washington: 3.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.7%
Nashville: 48.9%
vs
Washington: 47.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
3.5
2
WSH Score
3.3
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.7 / 16.6
19.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
47.1 / 48.9
47.6 / 52.4
Hits
19.9 / 25.8
34.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
1186.0 / 3254.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.3 / 25.7
36.0 / 35.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 4.1
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NSH
WSH
NSH
ML
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
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