MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
4-3 | Road
104
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
3-4 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
NETS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
MEM By 1-7 points
22.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
11.4%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.1%
BKN By 8-14 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
112.56
MEMPHIS
Brooklyn
115.06
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Memphis
112
MEMPHIS
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Grizzlies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
MEM @ BKN
115 - 126
Jan 11, 2026
BKN @ MEM
98 - 103
Dec 13, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 135
Nov 4, 2024
MEM @ BKN
104 - 106
Oct 30, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.6% more
Brooklyn: 9.0
vs
Memphis: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+26.6% more
Memphis: 50.0
vs
Brooklyn: 36.7
Blocks (L5)
+20.8% more
Memphis: 5.1
vs
Brooklyn: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+19.0% more
Memphis: 17.3
vs
Brooklyn: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
112.6
104
BKN Score
115.1
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 36.1
36.1 / 26.7
Assists
27.5 / 31.1
28.0 / 29.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.1
1.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 50.9
47.6 / 47.3
Free Throw %
76.2 / 76.5
72.2 / 76.9
Rebounding
36.7 / 50.0
37.0 / 44.0
Steals
9.0 / 8.0
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 17.3
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MEM
BKN
MEM
ML
53%
50-45
57%
59-44
59%
48-34
50%
41-41
ATS
52%
48-44-3
63%
65-38
59%
48-34
50%
41-41
TTL
57%
54-41
70%
71-31-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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