PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
1-4 | Road
116
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
5-1 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
SUNS
0%
76ERS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHI By 1-7 points
23.1%
PHI By 8-14 points
12.2%
PHX By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
18.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
105.9
PHILADELPHIA
Phoenix
107.88
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
105
PHILADELPHIA
Phoenix
110
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
PHI @ PHX
109 - 103
Jan 20, 2026
PHX @ PHI
116 - 110
Jan 6, 2025
PHX @ PHI
109 - 99
Nov 4, 2024
PHI @ PHX
116 - 118
Mar 20, 2024
PHI @ PHX
102 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.0% more
Phoenix: 6.9
vs
Philadelphia: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+47.0% more
Phoenix: 27.8
vs
Philadelphia: 18.9
Rebounding (L5)
+25.0% more
Phoenix: 49.2
vs
Philadelphia: 39.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Phoenix: 37.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 32.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
105.9
116
PHX Score
107.9
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 32.9
34.4 / 39.2
Assists
27.8 / 18.9
24.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.9 / 4.3
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 41.1
51.2 / 46.0
Free Throw %
79.2 / 77.3
88.5 / 88.9
Rebounding
49.2 / 39.3
43.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.1
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 13.9
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
PHI
PHX
PHI
ML
57%
60-45
63%
69-40
51%
45-43
48%
45-48
ATS
58%
59-43-3
65%
71-38
51%
45-43
48%
45-48
TTL
59%
61-42-2
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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