DETROIT
PISTONSDET
1-5 | Road
106
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
3-3 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
NETS
0%
PISTONS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
DET By 1-7 points
20.8%
DET By 8-14 points
9.9%
BKN By 1-7 points
27.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
21.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
104.1
DETROIT
Brooklyn
107.66
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Detroit
98
DETROIT
Brooklyn
112
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
DET @ BKN
138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026
BKN @ DET
107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026
BKN @ DET
77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025
DET @ BKN
125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025
BKN @ DET
94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+59.6% more
Brooklyn: 8.9
vs
Detroit: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+30.7% more
Brooklyn: 29.7
vs
Detroit: 22.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.7%
Brooklyn: 83.7%
vs
Detroit: 77.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Brooklyn: 48.9%
vs
Detroit: 46.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
104.1
106
BKN Score
107.7
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 36.0
29.0 / 30.6
Assists
29.7 / 22.7
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.5 / 6.6
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 46.6
45.1 / 48.1
Free Throw %
83.7 / 77.0
61.3 / 80.8
Rebounding
41.6 / 43.9
27.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.9 / 5.6
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 18.7
14.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
DET
BKN
DET
ML
53%
50-45
55%
64-53
59%
48-34
49%
47-49
ATS
52%
48-44-3
53%
60-54-3
59%
48-34
49%
47-49
TTL
57%
54-41
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
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