MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
3-3 | Road
124
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
1-3 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
76ERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
MEM By 1-7 points
15.9%
MEM By 8-14 points
6.2%
PHI By 1-7 points
26.5%
PHI By 8-14 points
24.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
109.92
MEMPHIS
Philadelphia
116.53
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Memphis
98
MEMPHIS
Philadelphia
103
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 201.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MEM @ PHI
129 - 139
Dec 30, 2025
PHI @ MEM
139 - 136
Nov 20, 2024
PHI @ MEM
111 - 117
Nov 2, 2024
MEM @ PHI
124 - 107
Apr 6, 2024
PHI @ MEM
116 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.0% more
Philadelphia: 8.2
vs
Memphis: 7.4
Assists (L5)
+40.6% more
Memphis: 29.2
vs
Philadelphia: 17.4
Turnovers (L5)
+20.3% more
Memphis: 17.4
vs
Philadelphia: 13.9
Blocks (L5)
+15.9% more
Memphis: 4.6
vs
Philadelphia: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
109.9
124
PHI Score
116.5
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 31.9
41.3 / 44.4
Assists
17.4 / 29.2
22.0 / 35.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.6
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 48.8
40.4 / 55.2
Free Throw %
76.0 / 76.6
80.0 / 76.2
Rebounding
42.5 / 49.0
33.0 / 52.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.4
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 17.4
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MEM
PHI
MEM
ML
63%
69-40
57%
59-44
48%
45-48
50%
41-41
ATS
65%
71-38
63%
65-38
48%
45-48
50%
41-41
TTL
55%
60-49
70%
71-31-1
100%
93-0
100%
82-0
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