DALLAS
STARSDAL
7-3-0 | Road
2
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
8-3-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Casey DeSmith
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | None-None | 3.03 | 0.875 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.03
GAA
--
0.875
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
STARS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
DAL By 1 goal
15.8%
DAL By 2-3 goals
15.0%
FLA By 1 goal
18.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
22.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Dallas
2.93
DALLAS
Florida
3.28
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Dallas
2
DALLAS
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
FLA @ DAL
4 - 0
Nov 1, 2025
DAL @ FLA
3 - 4
Nov 2, 2024
DAL @ FLA
2 - 4
Nov 1, 2024
FLA @ DAL
6 - 4
Mar 12, 2024
FLA @ DAL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+34.3% more
Florida: 23.1
vs
Dallas: 17.2
Power Play % (L5)
+17.9%
Florida: 41.0%
vs
Dallas: 23.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+14.8% more
Florida: 6.5
vs
Dallas: 5.7
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.6% more
Dallas: 14.9
vs
Florida: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DAL Score
2.9
2
FLA Score
3.3
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.0 / 14.9
16.0 / 6.0
Faceoff %
44.6 / 48.5
46.3 / 53.7
Hits
23.1 / 17.2
22.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
41.0 / 23.1
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
29.5 / 31.6
25.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
6.5 / 5.7
8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
DAL
FLA
DAL
ML
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
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